Five, gold-independent, estimators predict efficiency (0/1) of large-scale silicate systems and their aggregate segments/ zones for gold potential. Circular bias is explicitly constrained by design to 5 ppb or less- a fundamental shift from longstanding, uncontrolled and conventional gold deposit modeling and "gold is where you find it" approaches.

Derived physicochemical estimators constrain features and energy changes (e.g. heat flow, deformation) of efficient and inefficient systems for exploration, for planning and for further R&D. Regional (composite system) -scale, system-scale, property-scale and zone (segment) order of characterization and estimation establish critical controls for prediction of gold distributions down to a target ppm x metre (core box) scale.

Geological characteristics and data are compiled from regional maps ( to < 1 sq. km resolution); from independently-ranked deposit population data; and from a regional lithogeochemical database for further, detailed project and zone evaluation.

The design level of significance (0.02) and power of test (0.91, improved from 0.05 sig./0.90 pwr.) provide efficient and minimum-bias estimation to evaluate under-explored, poorly understood or poorly characterized mineralization potential. Under-explored system potential is indicated at 9% of the total population. This defines a measurable design improvement over the existing state-of-art in an otherwise intensely characterized, long-studied, well-exposed, unweathered, and very large portion of the earth's exposed Archean rock.

Derived point estimates (partly from experimental values, analogous to controlled system estimators), indicate order-of-magnitude, expected efficiencies for projected zones or system segments ( e.g. %CO2-km, %S-100m, gold-ppm-20m) given pre-specified search parameters. These may be dimensional, economic, other exogenous parameters. Other thermodynamic efficiencies, point estimates and system constraints are specified for further testing and research.

Related zone-scale or multiple-zone tests for continuity and relative efficiency can be appled for progressive (regressive or integrated) evaluations of targets, properties, property portfolios. Zone-focused sampling and analyses provide supplemental primary data (e.g. N x 30 sample runs for zone-specific test power and significance).

Design includes C++ algorithm source code, executable software, derivation, definitions, references; data compilations; digital maps; work-in-progress (WIP); application and field manuals; other supporting IP and documents.

Unpublished original work and work-in-progress. Independent researcher (1987-) seeks international collaborations with specific stakes in the derivation of predictive geological system models. An integrated approach to exploration, operations, strategy and research; to continuous technical/ business/process improvement; to risk and cost-effective management strategies; to controlled prediction from regional to single zone-scale would be each be advantageous. Division of pre-competitive (population-based, composite system-based) and competitive (single system, single zone) research and design is indicated.

Cooperative or leveraged initiatives, joint ventures by major and junior companies, institutions, consultancies, governments and other organizations would be advantageous.

Inquiries are welcome. Presentation, proposal, business plan and test costings are available. Confidential disclosure for consideration and for a limited review period is invited. Leveraged design participation is possible with bona fide design improvements in design significance and power of test. Inquiries on benchmarking, co-development or mergers with advanced, proprietary or regional predictive designs are welcome. Reviews and incremental customization of existing evaluation methods (e.g. custom-contract field methods, core logging, resource evaluation), with or without third-party R&D are also invited. Licensing, sublicensing and IP commercialization options are possible for accelerated, leveraged and integrated R& D ; for larger project applications.

a predictive and quantitative design for identification and estimator-by-estimator ranking of efficient systems/ zones for gold deposits; fixed or variable sensitivities; for matching of generally known and mineralized systems/ zones with under-explored, under-exposed, sparsely-sampled, glacially-dispersed or weathered systems/ zones;

to successively locate and prioritize prospects, targets and gold potential, composite-system-wide (Archean, N. Ont. Canada basis) to 10's of km to 10's of m and finally to core-box scale ("trend" to zone- scale) with pre-specified search parameters (grade, tonnage, width or other design-exogenous constraints); to do so at all stages of target selection, evaluation, sampling in a repeatable, verifiable manner

the design is based on a "world class" exposure of Archean Era rocks (over half a million square kilometres of metavolcanic-metasedimentary-granitic successions)- a large record of Earth's earliest geological processes and arguably the simplest, least weathered, least disturbed and best preserved. It is also based on a highly characterized and gold prolific portion of the (larger) Superior Province of the Canadian Shield. This offers a strategic window, a "test lab", an "acid test" and a "touchstone" for any predictive design.

the design can accommodate and integrate data generally available, observed, gathered and variously interpreted by practitioners at regional to zone scales

for controlled, quantitative evaluation of specific exploration risks and biases at an explicit level of uncertainty (e.g. 2%); sensitivities adjustable with independently- specified risk criteria or preferences; for portfolio- style matching/ balancing/ control of general technical risk;

for integration with other approaches or specializations (geochemistry; structural and economic geology; igneous, metamorphic petrology and thermobarometry, chemical physics); for technology benchmarking;

a) commonly qualitative, or selectively quantitative indicators/ correlations (uncontrolled, elicited); commonly qualitative, genetic-generic-taxonomic models; untested data compilations and related visualization;

b) narrowly-based mineral, fluid, element, rare-element, fractional, trace, isotopic indicators; partial alteration, lithological and structural indicators;

c) uncontrolled, quantitative/ statistical, parametric/ non-parametric methods; spurious correlation; spatially-modelled/ spatially-biased or "weighted, weights-of-evidence" estimators or visualization methods; uncontrolled extrapolation, interpolation, optimization or smoothing methods; uncontrolled elicited specifications (prior, subjective probability, expert, neural network);

d) speculative methods that do not quantify any level of uncertainty nor qualify any sources of systematic biases (including gold indicator only, circular bias)

to integrate geological, geophysical, remote sensing, engineering, financial, economic, market, environmental, socioeconomic and community factors; to improve public disclosure and related securities market efficiencies;

to focus innovation, technology design, exploration productivity gains, modern IP management, technology transfer and commercialization of R & D in a "high-tech" resource sector

Exploration Geologist: 8 years ( gold, VMS -associated Cu-Zn, nickel-copper, tin-tungsten-molybdenum, uranium; prospective PGM-group settings; Archean, Proterozoic, Paleozoic )

Archean and younger, large-scale, physicochemical systems simulation of sulphide distributions (Volcanic-sedimentary-alteration pipe-associated; volcanogenic massive sulphides "VMS - associated ") for copper-zinc, zinc-lead-copper, associated pyrrhotite-pyrite deposits

Constraint of structural and physicochemical parameters, system simulation for distribution and propagation of kimberlites, lamproites, lamprophyres and related diamond distributions, deposits